The Brooklyn Nets begin their mini trip to the West Coast tonight with a game against the Portland Trail Blazers. It’s time to continue the NBA odds series and make the Nets-Blazers prediction and pick.
Overall, the Nets have a 29-14 record, but only 22-21 and against the spread. Brooklyn is coming off a win over the Washington Wizards.
The Blazers are 25-17 and 21-21 against the spread. Portland loses to the Dallas Mavericks.
Here’s how the bookies determine the odds for the opening game between the Nets and the Blazers.
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Brooklyn Nets +3.5 (-105)
Portland Trail Blazers -3.5 (-115)
More than 231.5 points (-110)
Less than 231.5 points (-110)
Why networks can cover distribution
Brooklyn has performed well as an underdog during the season. Time and time again, the Nets have been called an underdog, and they are 9-2 ATS in those situations.
On the other hand, the Blazers are struggling as 10-13 favorites on the season.
The same scenario is playing out tonight. With Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving sidelined and James Harden in doubt, the Nets’ roster has shrunk considerably.
Assuming Harden overcomes his neck pain and plays, the Nets have a chance to win this game.
Brooklyn is the best scoring team in the league, and they play a team with good media coverage tonight.
Portland has held opponents under 100 points four times this season. They allowed 120+ points in 16 instances.
The Blazers have allowed the third-highest percentage of opponent field goals in the league and the eighth-highest percentage of distance shots. They also allow the 8th most free throws per game and the 8th most offensive rebounds.
For the most part, Portland struggles to stop opponents in nearly every statistic. They can’t compete with the best offensive team in the league with their defensive weakness.
The Nets have shown they can score without Irving and Durant on the court. Harden is more than capable of scoring when surrounded by the Nets’ shooters.
Why the Blazers can cover thecast
While the Nets are unlikely to be in trouble tonight, they are at a disadvantage offensively without two of their three stars. If Harden doesn’t play, it’s almost certain to get ugly.
Even if Beard plays, the Nets will score nearly 60 points on offense without Irving and Durant and one of their best shooters in Landry Shamet.
The Blazers may not have the same numbers as Brooklyn offensively, but they can still hold their own against the heavyweights.
Portland ranks second in the NBA in three-point percentage and is also in the top 10 in total points, three-point percentage and free throw percentage per game.
Damian Lillard and his team live and die by three-point shooting, and they made it right at the Moda Center.
During Portland’s game, the Blazers have four players shooting 38% or better from deep on at least four attempts per game, and three of them are at 40% or better.
C.J. McCollum is the leader of this group. The Lehigh player is shooting 43% beyond the arc this season and is slowly getting back into shape after missing 25 games.
McCollum lost the first two games, but scored 32 points and seven three-pointers in the first game against the Mavericks. Assuming he continues to find his rhythm, the Nets will need to be left with two players who can consistently score in the paint, from mid-range and behind the arc.
Definitive blower prediction networks and selection
Ultimately, this game depends on the availability of James Harden. Wait until you see if the Brooklyn star will play. If Harden plays, the Nets should give the game to the Blazers, but Portland still needs to tie. The safest bet in this scenario is the Blazers’ ML. If Harden is out, Portland should crush this Nets team. Play the Blazers at -9.5 against a starless Brooklyn team. Stay tuned for the Nets injury report!
THE LAST CHOICE IN CASE OF TROUBLE: PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS JR.
THE FINAL CHOICE WHEN THE PAVING HAS BEEN WORKED OUT: PORT BLAZERS DOWN TO -9.5
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